Elo ratings for the 2024 AFL season, based on my bespoke algorithm using custom k-values and seeded with the last few seasons of data at custom weightings. This is a predictor of real team strength, and may be a more accurate representation than their ladder position. You can read more about Elo ratings here.
| Rank | Team | Elo rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sydney | 1765 |
| 2 | Collingwood | 1699 |
| 3 | Essendon | 1652 |
| 4 | Melbourne | 1608 |
| 5 | Port Adelaide | 1605 |
| 6 | Carlton | 1598 |
| 7 | Geelong | 1538 |
| 8 | Gold Coast | 1530 |
| 9 | Brisbane Lions | 1527 |
| 10 | Fremantle | 1500 |
| 11 | Greater Western Sydney | 1488 |
| 12 | Western Bulldogs | 1484 |
| 13 | Adelaide | 1480 |
| 14 | Hawthorn | 1434 |
| 15 | St Kilda | 1362 |
| 16 | West Coast | 1325 |
| 17 | Richmond | 1259 |
| 18 | North Melbourne | 1135 |