Elo ratings for the 2024 AFL season, based on my bespoke algorithm using custom k-values and seeded with the last few seasons of data at custom weightings. This is a predictor of real team strength, and may be a more accurate representation than their ladder position. You can read more about Elo ratings here.
| Rank | Team | Elo rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greater Western Sydney | 1687 |
| 2 | Geelong | 1668 |
| 3 | Port Adelaide | 1644 |
| 4 | Carlton | 1608 |
| 5 | Sydney | 1601 |
| 6 | Melbourne | 1583 |
| 7 | Collingwood | 1546 |
| 8 | Brisbane Lions | 1545 |
| 9 | Essendon | 1537 |
| 10 | Fremantle | 1515 |
| 11 | Gold Coast | 1489 |
| 12 | St Kilda | 1480 |
| 13 | Western Bulldogs | 1449 |
| 14 | Adelaide | 1445 |
| 15 | Richmond | 1345 |
| 16 | West Coast | 1329 |
| 17 | Hawthorn | 1279 |
| 18 | North Melbourne | 1239 |